Skip to main content
Original Article

The Tendency to Fall for Distracting Information While Making Judgments

Development and Validation of the Objective Heuristic Thinking Test

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1027/1015-5759/a000214

Despite much research on thinking biases such as the representativeness, availability, and anchoring heuristics, a psychometrically sound measurement instrument for assessing the degree of heuristic thinking is still missing. Therefore, it was the goal of this study to develop and validate a new test to assess the degree of heuristic thinking associated with three particular thinking heuristics (i.e., the representativeness, availability, and anchoring heuristics). The resulting Objective Heuristic Thinking Test (OHTT) was evaluated with regard to its internal consistency, factor structure, construct validity, and stability in an internet sample (N = 300) and an independent laboratory sample (N = 55). Exploratory factor analyses resulted in three latent factors that represented the three OHTT subscales (i.e., representativeness, availability, and anchoring factors). Results revealed a low to sufficient internal consistency for each of the three scales. Further analyses indicated convergent correlations of the OHTT scales with related constructs such as field-independency. Furthermore, good stability of the test scores was shown. Conclusions are drawn regarding possible future applications of the OHTT as a promising tool for studying the origins of heuristic thinking processes.

References

  • Agnoli, F. (1991). Development of judgmental heuristics and logical reasoning: Training counteracts the representativeness heuristic. Cognitive Development, 6, 195–217. doi: 10.1016/0885-2014(91)90036-D First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Anger, H. , Mertesdorf, F. , Wegner, R. , Wülfing, G. (1980). Verbaler Kurzintelligenztest [Verbal Short Intelligence Test]. Göttingen, Germany: Hogrefe. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Arnett, J. (1994). Sensation seeking: A new conceptualization and a new scale. Personality and Individual Differences, 16, 289–296. doi: 10.1016/0191-8869(94)90165-1 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Barberis, N. , Shleifer, A. , Vishny, R. (1998). A model of investor sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics, 49, 307–343. doi: 10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00027-0 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Beauducel, A. , Liepmann, D. , Horn, S. , Brocke, B. (2008). IST – Intelligence structure test. Göttingen, Germany: Hogrefe. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Bensi, L. , & Giusberti, F. (2007). Trait anxiety and reasoning under uncertainty. Personality and Individual Differences, 43, 827–838. doi: 10.1016/j.paid.2007.02.007 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Billings, R. S. , Schaalman, M. L. (1980). Administrators’ estimations of the probability of outcomes of school desegregation: A field test of the availability heuristic. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 26, 97–114. doi: 10.1016/0030-5073(80)90049-5 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Boussaidi, R. (2013). Representativeness heuristic, investor sentiment and overreaction to accounting earnings: The case of the Tunisian stock market. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 81, 9–21. doi: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.06.380 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Boynton, D. M. (2003). Superstitious responding and frequency matching in the positive bias and gamblers fallacy effects. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 91, 119–127. doi: 10.1016/S0749-5978(03)00064-5 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Brannon, L. A. , Carson, K. L. (2003). The representativeness heuristic: Influence on nurses’ decision making. Applied Nursing Research, 16, 201–204. doi: 10.1016/S0897-1897(03)00043-0 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Brewer, N. T. , Chapman, G. B. (2002). The fragile basic anchoring effect. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 15, 65–77. doi: 10.1002/bdm.403 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Camerer, C. F. , Hogarth, R. M. (1999). The effects of financial incentives in experiments: A review and capital-labor-production framework. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 7–42. doi: 10.1023/A:1007850605129 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Caputo, A. (2013). A literature review of cognitive biases in negotiation processes. International Journal of Conflict Management, 24, 374–398. doi: 10.1108/IJCMA-08-2012-0064 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Carroll, J. S. (1978). The effect of imagining an event on expectations for the event: An interpretation in terms of the availability heuristic. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 14, 88–96. doi: 10.1016/0022-1031(78)90062-8 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Cattell, R. B. (1941). An objective test of character-temperament I. Journal of General Psychology, 25, 59–73. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Cattell, R. B. (1944). An objective test of character-temperament: II. The Journal of Social Psychology, 19, 99–114. doi: 10.1080/00224545.1944.9918805 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Cattell, R. B. (1968). What is “objective” in “Objective Personality Tests”. In W. L. Barnette, (Ed.), Readings in psychological tests and measurements (pp. 163–168). Homewood, IL: Dorsey Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Cattell, R. B. , Warburton, F. W. (1967). Objective Personality and Motivation Tests: A theoretical introduction and practical compendium. Chicago, IL: University of Illinois. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Cattell, R. , Heist, A. , Heist, P. , Stewart, R. (1950). The objective measurement of dynamic traits. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 10, 223–247. doi: 10.1177/001316445001000204 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Chaiken, S. (1980). Heuristic versus systematic information processing and the use of source versus message cues in persuasion. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39, 752–766. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Chapman, G. B. , Johnson, E. J. (1994). The limits of anchoring. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 7, 223–242. doi: 10.1002/bdm.3960070402 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Chen, S. , Duckworth, K. , Chaiken, S. (1999). Motivated heuristic and systematic processing. Psychological Inquiry, 10, 44–49. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Cioffi, J. (2001). A study of the use of past experiences in clinical decision making in emergency situations. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 38, 591–599. doi: 10.1016/S0020-7489(00)00096-1 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Clark, D. A. , Beck, A. T. (2010). Cognitive therapy of anxiety disorders. New York, NY: Guilford Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Coventry, K. R. , Brown, R. I. F. (1993). Sensation seeking, gambling and gambling addictions. Addiction, 88, 541–554. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Cox, C. , & Mouw, J. T. (1992). Disruption of the representativeness heuristic: Can we be perturbed into using correct probabilistic reasoning? Educational Studies in Mathematics, 23, 163–178. doi: 10.1007/BF00588054 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • De Bondt, W. F. M. , Thaler, R. (1985). Does the stock market overreact? The Journal of Finance, 40, 793–805. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05004.x First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Epley, N. , & Gilovich, T. (2006). The anchoring-and-adjustment heuristic: Why the adjustments are insufficient. Psychological Science, 17, 311–318. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01704.x First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Ericsson, K. A. , Simon, H. A. (1980). Verbal reports as data. Psychological Review, 87, 215–251. doi: 10.1037/0033-295X.87.3.215 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Ericsson, K. A. , Simon, H. A. (1999). Protocol analysis: Verbal reports as data (3rd ed.). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Eroglu, C. , & Croxton, K. L. (2010). Biases in judgmental adjustments of statistical forecasts: The role of individual differences. International Journal of Forecasting, 26, 116–133. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.02.005 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Evans, C. , Richardson, J. T. E. , Waring, M. (2013). Field independence: Reviewing the evidence. British Journal of Educational Psychology, 83, 210–224. doi: 10.1111/bjep. 12015 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Evans, J. , & Pollard, P. (1982). Statistical judgment: A further test of the representativeness construct. Acta Psychologica, 51, 91–103. doi: 10.1016/0001-6918(82)90054-3 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Frederick, S. (2005). Cognitive reflection and decision making. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19, 25–42. doi: 10.1257/089533005775196732 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Friedman, E. S. , Thase, M. E. , Wright, J. H. (2008). Cognitive and behavioral therapies. In A. Tasman, J. Kay, J. A. Lieberman, M. B. First, M. Maj, (Eds.), Psychiatry (3rd ed.). (pp. 1920–1947). Oxford: Wiley. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Furnham, A. , Boo, H. C. (2011). A literature review of the anchoring effect. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 40, 35–42. doi: 10.1016/j.socec.2010.10.008 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Gigerenzer, G. (1991). How to make cognitive illusions disappear: Beyond “heuristics and biases”. European Review of Social Psychology, 2, 83–115. doi: 10.1080/14792779143000033 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Gigerenzer, G. , Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 62, 451–482. doi: 10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-145346 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Gigerenzer, G. , Goldstein, D. G. (1996). Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. Psychological Review, 103, 650–669. doi: 10.1037/0033-295X.103.4.650 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Gilovich, T. , Vallone, R. , Tversky, A. (1985). The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive Psychology, 17, 295–314. doi: 10.1016/0010-0285(85)90010-6 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Hammelstein, P. (2004). Faites vos jeux! Another look at sensation seeking and pathological gambling. Personality and Individual Differences, 37, 917–931. doi: 10.1016/j.paid.2003.10.014 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Hergovich, A. (1999). Vorstellung und Validierung des Gestaltwahrnehmungstests zur Messung der Feldabhängigkeit [Presentation and validation of the Gestaltwahrnehmungstest aimed at measureung field-independency]. Diagnostica, 45, 20–34. doi: 10.1026//0012-1924.45.1.20 First citation in articleLinkGoogle Scholar

  • Horn, J. L. (1965). A rationale and test for the number of factors in factor analysis. Psychometrika, 30, 179–185. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Hornke, L. F. , Küppers, A. , Etzel, S. (2000). Konstruktion und Evaluation eines adaptiven Matrizentests [Construction and evaluation of an adaptive matrices test]. Diagnostica, 46, 182–188. doi: 10.1026//0012-1924.46.4.182 First citation in articleLinkGoogle Scholar

  • Howarth, E. (1972). A factor analysis of selected markers for objective personality factors. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 7, 451–476. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • IBM Corp. . (2011). IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 20.0. Armonk, NY: IBM. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Innocenti, A. , Lattarulo, P. , Pazienza, M. G. (2013). Car stickiness: Heuristics and biases in travel choice. Transport Policy, 25, 158–168. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2012.11.004 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Jasper, F. (2010). Applied dimensionality and test structure assessment with the START-M mathematics test. International Journal of Educational and Psychological Assessment, 6, 104–125. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Johnson, W. B. (1983). Representativeness in judgmental predictions of corporate bankruptcy. The Accounting Review, 58, 78–97. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Kahneman, D. , Tversky, A. (1972). Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness. Cognitive Psychology, 3, 430–454. doi: 10.1016/0010-0285(72)90016-3 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Kahneman, D. , Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, 263–291. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Kahneman, D. , Tversky, A. (1982). On the study of statistical intuitions. Cognition, 11, 123–141. doi: 10.1016/0010-0277(82)90022-1 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Keren, G. , & Lewis, C. (1994). The two fallacies of gamblers: Type I and type II. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 60, 75–89. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Kline, P. , & Cooper, C. (1983). A construct validation of the objective-analytic test battery. Personality and Individual Differences, 5, 323–337. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Kubinger, K. D. (2009). The technique of objective personality-tests sensu R. B. Cattell nowadays: The Viennese pool of computerized tests aimed at experiment-based assessment of behavior. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 41, 1024–1036. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Lang, F. R. , John, D. , Lüdtke, O. , Schupp, J. , Wagner, G. G. (2011). Short assessment of the Big Five: Robust across survey methods except telephone interviewing. Behavior Research Methods, 43, 548–567. doi: 10.3758/s13428-011-0066-z First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Laux, L. , Glanzmann, P. , Schaffner, P. , Spielberger, C. D. (1981). STAI – State-Trait-Angstinventar. Weinheim, Germany: Beltz. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Lejuez, C. W. , Read, J. P. , Kahler, C. W. , Richards, J. B. , Ramsey, S. E. , Stuart, G. L. , … Brown, R. A. (2002). Evaluation of a behavioral measure of risk taking: The Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART). Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 8, 75–84. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Liu, S. , & Johnson, J. E. V. (2007). Searching for anchoring effects in a naturalistic environment: Evidence from the Hong Kong horserace betting market. Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 1, 69–84. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Lorenzo-Seva, U. , Ferrando, P. (2006). FACTOR: A computer program to fit the exploratory factor analysis model. Behavioral Research Methods, Instruments and Computers, 38, 88–91. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Malouff, J. M. , Thorsteinsson, E. B. , Schutte, N. S. (2005). The relationship between the five-factor model of personality and symptoms of clinical disorders: A meta-analysis. Journal of Psychopathology and Behavioral Assessment, 27, 101–114. doi: 10.1007/s10862-005-5384-y First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • McElroy, T. , Dowd, K. (2007). Susceptibility to anchoring effects: How openness-to-experience influences responses to anchoring cues. Judgment and Decision Making, 2, 48–53. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • McGlone, M. S. , Reed, A. B. (1998). Anchoring in the interpretation of probability expressions. Journal of Pragmatics, 30, 723–733. doi: 10.1016/S0378-2166(98)00011-3 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • McKenzie, C. R. M. (2005). Judgment and decision making. In K. Lamberts, R. Goldstone, (Eds.), Handbook of cognition (pp. 321–338). London, UK: Sage. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Morewedge, C. K. , Kahneman, D. (2010). Associative processes in intuitive judgment. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 14, 435–440. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2010.07.004 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Morris, R. , & Griffiths, M. D. (2013). The relationship between gambling affinity, impulsivity, sensation seeking, superstition, and irrational beliefs: An empirical study among committed gamblers. Aloma, 31, 109–121. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Mussweiler, T. , Strack, F. (2001). The semantics of anchoring. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 86, 234–255. doi: 10.1006/obhd.2001.2954 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Ortner, T. M. , Kubinger, K. D. , Schrott, A. , Radinger, R. , Litzenberger, M. (2006). Belastbarkeits-Assessment: Computerisierte Objektive Persönlichkeits-Testbatterie – Deutsch (BAcO-D) [Stress resistance assessment: Computerized objective test-battery – German version]. Frankfurt a. Main, Germany: Harcourt Assessment. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Ortner, T. M. , Proyer, R. T. (in press). Objective Personality Tests. In F. J. R. van de Vijver, T. Ortner, (Eds.), Behavior-based assessment: Going beyond self-report in the personality, affective, motivation and social domains. Göttingen, Germany: Hogrefe. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Petty, R. E. , Cacioppo, J. T. (1986). The elaboration likelihood model of persuasion. In L. Berkowitz, (Ed.), Advances in experimental social psychology (pp. 123–205). Orlando, FL: Academic Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Petty, R. E. , Wegener, D. T. (1999). The elaboration likelihood model: Current status and controversies. In S. Chaiken, (Ed.), Dual-process theories in social psychology (pp. 37–72). New York, NY: Guilford Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Plous, S. (1989). Thinking the unthinkable: The effects of anchoring on likelihood estimates of nuclear war. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 19, 67–91. doi: 10.1111/j.1559-1816.1989.tb01221.x First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Rothbart, M. , Fulero, S. , Jensen, C. , Howard, J. , Birrell, P. (1978). From individual to group impressions: Availability heuristics in stereotype formation. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 14, 237–255. doi: 10.1016/0022-1031(78)90013-6 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Roth, M. (2003). Validation of the Arnett Inventory of Sensation Seeking (AISS): Efficiency to predict the willingness towards occupational chance, and affection by social desirability. Personality and Individual Differences, 35, 1307–1314. doi: 10.1016/S0191-8869(02)00351-3 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Sloman, S. A. (2002). Two systems of reasoning. In T. Gilovich, D. Kahneman, (Eds.), Heuristics and biases. The psychology of intuitive judgment (pp. 379–396). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Spielberger, C. D. , Gorsuch, R. L. , Lushene, R. (1970). Test Manual for the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory. Palo Alto, CA: Consulting Psychologists Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Stanovich, K. E. , West, R. F. (1997). Reasoning independently of prior belief and individual differences in actively open-minded thinking. Journal of Educational Psychology, 89, 342–357. doi: 10.1037/0022-0663.89.2.342 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Stanovich, K. E. , West, R. F. (2008). On the relative independence of thinking biases and cognitive ability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 94, 672–695. doi: 10.1037/0022-3514.94.4.672 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Thorsteinson, T. J. , Breier, J. , Atwell, A. , Hamilton, C. , Privette, M. (2008). Anchoring effects on performance judgments. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 107, 29–40. doi: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2008.01.003 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Toplak, M. E. , West, R. F. , Stanovich, K. E. (2011). The Cognitive Reflection Test as a predictor of performance on heuristics-and-biases tasks. Memory & Cognition, 39, 1275–1289. doi: 10.3758/s13421-011-0104-1 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Tversky, A. , Kahneman, D. (1973). Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5, 207–232. doi: 10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Tversky, A. , Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124–1131. doi: 10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • van Knippenberg, F. C. , Duivenvoorden, H. J. , Bonke, B. , & Passchier, J. (1990). Shortening the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 43, 995–1000. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Wegener, D. T. , Petty, R. E. , Blankenship, K. L. , Detweiler-Bedell, B. (2010). Elaboration and numerical anchoring: Implications of attitude theories for consumer judgment and decision making. Journal of Consumer Psychology, 20, 5–16. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Welsh, M. , Burns, N. , & Delfabbro, P. (2013). The Cognitive Reflection Test: How much more than Numerical Ability? In M. Knauff, M. Pauen, N. Sebanz, I. Wachsmuth, (Eds.), Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1587–1593). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society Retrieved from http://mindmodeling.org/cogsci2013/papers/0296/paper0296.pdf First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Williams, J. M. G. , Mathews, A. , MacLeod, C. (1996). The emotional Stroop task and psychopathology. Psychological Bulletin, 120, 3–24. doi: 10.1037/0033-2909.120.1.3 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Witkin, H. A. , Moore, C. A. , Goodenough, D. , Cox, P. W. (1977). Field-dependent and field-independent cognitive styles and their educational implications. Review of Educational Research, 47, 1–64. doi: 10.3102/00346543047001001 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Witkin, H. A. , Oltman, P. K. , Raskin, E. , Karp, S. A. (1971). A manual for the embedded figures tests. Palo Alto, CA: Consulting Psychologists Press. First citation in articleGoogle Scholar

  • Wittman, W. W. (1995). The significance of Brunswik-Symmetry for psychological research and assessment. European Journal of Psychological Assessment, 11, 59–60. First citation in articleLinkGoogle Scholar

  • Yang, Z. , Zhang, Z.-K. , Zhou, T. (2012). Anchoring bias in online voting. EPL (Europhysics Letters), 100, 1–5. doi: 10.1209/0295-5075/100/68002 First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Zuckerman, M. (2005). Faites vos jeux anouveau: Still another look at sensation seeking and pathological gambling. Personality and Individual Differences, 39, 361–365. First citation in articleCrossrefGoogle Scholar